The Performance of Intel: 50-50:
Contrary to the rest of the technology market, Intel stock declined by 33.8% over the last 52 weeks. Although the technology-select sector SPDR Fund (XLK) posted a gain of 16.4% and the S&P 500 ascended to 12.7%, Intel has been a loser. This depreciation indicates the relative difficulties which Intel has come across in a dominant chip business where other competitors such as AMD and Nvidia have led on many fronts.
July 24, Who Knows What will happen?
Intel will hand in its Q2 2025 numbers after markets close on Thursday, July 24. It is a critical time because the company should release news concerning its manufacturing growth and this may become its landmark in the long-term approach to its activity. It is a move towards being on par with global chip production by the company.
Analysts expect the company to record a loss of $0.14 per share as it did in the same period last year. What this implies is that Intel should not exhibit any growth in profits yet but on the other hand this will point to some stability after all the volatility that was being experienced.
History of Past Earnings:
Intel has recorded a modest history in the past four quarters:
- Beat estimates two times
- Failed to meet expectations (twice)
This stop-start performance increases investor caution. However, it is not all bad. As an example, in Q1 2025. Intel had revenue of $12.7 billion which was a little bit lower than the previous year although the revenue was still better than the forecast of Wall Street. The diluted per-share loss was also quite minimal at $0.02 which is a far cry from the expectations. The result of this type of earnings beat was a temporary surge of +4.4% of the stock price on April 24, demonstrating that a positive surprise still matters to investors.
Analyst Recommendations: Majorly Cautious
It is reported that 38 analysts follow Intel. Most of them – 32 have a rating of the stock as a Hold. There is only a single analyst who writes of a strong buy and five have a strong sell. Such a conservative approach implies that most analysts believe that Intel is not a good buy at the moment but they do not predict its fall. Intel has an average price target of $22.68 and the stock goes higher than that now but the maximum is on the price target and it is at $62 which would be a massive gain of 171.9%. This demonstrates that there is still something that they think about their future with Intel particularly in case the production improvements introduce actual returns.
Outlook 2025, 2026:
Analysts forecast Intel to realise a further reduction in losses by almost two-thirds or 64.7% to $0.30 dollars in 2025 against a loss per share of $0.85 dollars in 2024. Intel is projected to go back to profit in the year 2026 with an earnings per share set at $0.15 dollars which implies that it would grow by 150% when compared with 2025.
The release of another update by Intel on July 24 promises to be of great significance to all the people who are interested in the recovery and the rise of Intel as a corporation. Although the stock has performed poorly in recent times, the actions of Intel in improving and diversifying its manufacturing are likely to influence the company. But the majority of analysts have yet to take any action and are waiting and observing. Until some positive signals shift the situation, Intel investors might prefer to keep their guard up until they see some solid performance in earnings and clear technology achievements but they should also keep their eyes open to possible good news shifts.
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